Water Resources Variability in Latian Basin and the Effect of Climate Change

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Department of Remote Sensing and GIS, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran,

2 Associate Professor, Department of Geography, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran.

3 M.S. in Climatology, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

In this study, monthly and annual mean discharge records of Latian basin are analyzed. The Kendall-tau test is first used to detect the trend of discharge, temperature, and precipitation records. Then the correlations between these parameters are determined. Models for annual mean discharge and daily mean discharge in each month are generated based on this information using linear regression. The results show that despite the increasing trend in temperature, there is no significant trend for the annual discharge during the past four decades. Due to the increase in temperature the amount of monthly discharge has increased in cold seasons and decreased in warm seasons during the past four decades.

Keywords


Robson, A., Bardossy, A., Jones, D. and Kundzewicz, Z. (2000), Statistical methods for testing for change, WMO, 1013, pp. 46-83.