Assessing Sustainable Groundwater Management Strategies for Climate Change Adaptation: Comparison of Cyclic and Non-Cyclic Conjunctive Use Approaches

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor

2 Iran University of Science and Technology

3 Water Resources Engineering Department, Faculty of Civil Engineering , Iran University of Science and Technology

Abstract

Climate change and its effect on droughts has led to overuse of groundwater resources and endangered the sustainability of these resources. Climate change studies shows that the recent attempts are not solely concentrated on “impact assessment” and “adaptation” is winning more focus in the studies. Accordingly, presenting appropriate strategies is of importance for increasing of surface and groundwater conjunctive use system adaptability with adverse effects of this phenomenon. In the present study, the adaptability of cyclic and non-cyclic conjunctive use systems with the aim of increasing groundwater sustainability while reducing costs and water shortage have been compared by considering climate change scenarios. In this regard, in order to simulate climate change in the Basin of Abhar River, precipitation and temperature variables are extracted from the results of three global atmospheric circulation models under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 greenhouse gas emission scenarios in the period 2021-2031. Data spatial downscaling was performed using the M5 decision tree algorithm. In the next step, the Wavelet-M5 hybrid model was used to predict runoff values for rainfall-runoff modeling. The Kharrufa method has also been used to calculate evaporation in future seasons. In the next step, these values were provided as input to the cyclic and non-cyclic multi-objective optimization models. Results showed that, CSS operation strategy improves the conjunctive use system adaptability, compared to the optimal operation strategy which employs the NCSS approach, so that in the cyclic approach, the sustainability of the groundwater resources is guaranteed by about 18% more than of the same in the non-cyclic approach.

Keywords

References

Abbasian M, Moghim S, and Abrishamchi A (2019) Performance of the general circulation models in simulating temperature and precipitation over Iran. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 135(3-4):1465–1483
Afshar A, Khosravi M, and Molajou A (2019) Sustainable conjunctive operation of water resources in agriculture sector: cyclic storage approach. Iran-Water Resources Research 15(4):381–395 (In Persian)
Afshar A, Khosravi M, Ostadrahimi L, and Afshar A (2020) Reliability-based multi-objective optimum design of nonlinear conjunctive use problem; cyclic storage system approach. Journal of Hydrology 125109
Afshar A, Ostadrahimi L, Ardeshir A, and Alimohammadi S (2008) Lumped approach to a multi-period–multi-reservoir cyclic storage system optimization. Water Resources Management  22(12):1741–1760
Afshar A, Zahraei A, and Mariño MA (2010) Large-scale nonlinear conjunctive use optimization problem: Decomposition algorithm. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 136(1):59-71
Alimohammadi S (2005) Optimum design and operation of joint surface and groundwater systems cyclic storage approach. Ph.D. Thesis, School of Civil Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology (In Persian)
Alimohammadi S, Afshar A, and Mariño MA (2009) Cyclic storage systems optimization: Semidistributed parameter approach. American Water Works Association 101(2):90-103
Alimohammadi S and Afshar A (2011) Cyclic storage systems optimization; design model fundamentals and formulation. Iran-Water Resources Research 7(3):1-20 (In Persian)
Ansari S, Massah BA, and Bagheri A (2019) Evaluation of adaptation strategies to climate change based on social, economic and environmental water security indicators. Iran-Water Resources Research 14(5):237-253 (In Persian)
Bloomfield JP, Marchant BP, and McKenzie AA (2019) Changes in groundwater drought associated with anthropogenic warming. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 23(3):1393-1408
Fang C, Sun S, Jia S, and Li Y (2019) Groundwater level analysis using regional Kendall test for trend with spatial autocorrelation. Groundwater, Wiley Online Library 57(2):320-328
Ghamarnia H and Lorestani M (2018) Evaluating the efficiency of temperature empirical based methods for estimating evapotranspiration in different climate conditions (case study of Iran). Water and Irrigation Management 8(2):303-319
Golfam P, Ashofteh PS, Rajaee T, and Chu X (2019) Prioritization of water allocation for adaptation to climate change using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). Water Resources Management 33(10):3401-3416
Hamamouche MF, Kuper M, Riaux J, and Leduc C (2017) Conjunctive use of surface and ground water resources in a community-managed irrigation system-The case of the Sidi Okba palm grove in the Algerian Sahara. Agricultural Water Management 193:116-130
Hashemi H, Berndtsson R, and Persson M (2015) Artificial recharge by floodwater spreading estimated by water balances and groundwater modelling in arid Iran. Hydrological Sciences Journal 60(2):336-350
Her Y, Yoo S, Seong C, Jeong J, Cho J, and Hwang S (2016) Comparison of uncertainty in multi-parameter and multi-model ensemble hydrologic analysis of climate change. Science of the Total Environment 1-44
Jahanpour MA, Afshar A, and Alimohammadi S (2013) Optimum management of cyclic storage systems: A simulation–optimization approach. American Water Works Association 105(11):E671–E683
Jeyrani F (2018) Review of concepts and principals of climate change adaptation plans. Iran-Water Resources Research 14(4):263-268 (In Persian)
Kharrufa NS (1985) Simplified equation for evapotranspiration in arid regions. Beiträge zur Hydrologie 5(1):39-47
Khosravi M, Afshar A, Molajou A (2020) Reliability-based design of conjunctive use water resources systems:
comparison of cyclic and non-cyclic approaches. Journal of Water and Wastewater (In Persian)
 
MacEwan D, Cayar M, Taghavi A, Mitchell D, Hatchett S, and Howitt R (2017) Hydroeconomic modeling of sustainable groundwater management. Water Resources Research 53(3):2384-2403
Maddock III T (1972) Algebraic technological function from a simulation model. Water Resources Research 8(1):129-134
Medellín-Azuara J, MacEwan D, Howitt RE, Koruakos G, Dogrul EC, Brush CF, and ... & Lund JR (2015) Hydro-economic analysis of groundwater pumping for irrigated agriculture in California’s Central Valley, USA. Hydrogeology Journal 23(6):1205-1216
Miro ME and Famiglietti JS (2019) A framework for quantifying sustainable yield under California’s Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA). Sustainable Water Resources Management 5(3):1165-1177
Nourani V, Davanlou Tajbakhsh A, Molajou A, and Gokcekus H (2019a) Hybrid wavelet-M5 model tree for rainfall-runoff modeling. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, American Society of Civil Engineers 24(5):1-14
Nourani V, Razzaghzadeh Z, Baghanam AH, and Molajou A (2019b) ANN-based statistical downscaling of climatic parameters using decision tree predictor screening method. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 137(3-4):1729-1746
Nourani V, Rouzegari N, and Molajou A (2020) An integrated simulation-optimization framework to optimize the reservoir operation adapted to climate change scenarios. Journal of Hydrology 587:2-19
Nourani V, Tajbakhsh AD, and Molajou A (2019c) Data mining based on wavelet and decision tree for rainfall-runoff simulation. Hydrology Research 50(1):75-84
Pavelic P, Srisuk K, Saraphirom P, Nadee S, Pholkern K, Chusanathas S, Munyou S, Tangsutthinon T, Intarasut T, and Smakhtin V (2012) Balancing-out floods and droughts: Opportunities to utilize floodwater harvesting and groundwater storage for agricultural development in Thailand. Journal of Hydrology  470:55-64
Rahmati O, Golkarian A, Biggs T, Keesstra S, Mohammadi F, and Daliakopoulos IN (2019) Land subsidence hazard modeling: Machine learning to identify predictors and the role of human activities. Journal of Environmental Management 236:466-480
Sayed E, Riad P, Elbeih SF, Hassan AA, and Hagras M (2020) Sustainable groundwater management in arid regions considering climate change impacts in Moghra region, Egypt. Groundwater for Sustainable Development 100385
Sekar I and Randhir TO (2007) Spatial assessment of conjunctive water harvesting potential in watershed systems. Journal of Hydrology 334(1-2):39-52
Sikdar PK (2018) Groundwater development and management: Issues and challenges in South Asia. Springer, 529p
Tegegne G, Kim Y, and Lee J (2019) Spatiotemporal reliability ensemble averaging of multimodel simulations. Geophysical Research Letters 46(21):12321-12330
Willis R and Liu P (1984) Optimization model for ground-water planning. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 110(3):333-347

Files

History

  • Receive Date: 17 March 2021
  • Accept Date: 17 March 2021

Share

How to cite

Statistics